Saturday, September 29, 2007
I think I should post this to explain the reson for purchase to share. Maybe it's right, maybe it's wrong afterall, like how people put it, "Chart reading is an art".
Note:
1. The formation on the chart.
2. The Gap
3. The volume.
4. The MA.
All thanks to Guang who introduced this stock. 1 plate of Chicken Rice for you.
Firstly there's this worry about STI breaking it's resistance and then ..... wooohooo! See Chart!
There's a lot of worry on the market crashing but if you take a look at how global indices moved, it's actually a relief that markets are no longer so dependent on the US market anymore. In fact, I've read on how much the Asia itself is growing, typically in China and India. Their export rates and bla bla... So probably, until both markets, US and China crash else, we'd be considered in danger? Well all these are still just theories, it has yet been tested.
Sooooo in the meantime, "shop" while you still can!
More analysis and lessons learnt in week #2 coming up. It's quite an exhaustive list, really.
Monday, September 24, 2007
Entered ChinaKangda @ .415 today decided to get it after my analysis. Not bad, showing potential =) This is I'm gonna ride the trend if there's any to begin with, lesson learnt from last week.
Entered CSC @ .33. Arghhh.... not a very intelligent buy. But time will tell. It's probable that I'll unload this to get more ChinaKangda but well, we'll see as the market progress this week.
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Lesson learnt today. When there's nothing to buy, DUN ANYHOW BUY!! Like my CSC. Haha! Bought it when it showed little signs of uptrend except "touching the resistance level".
Well read in Smart Investor magazine today regarding rising price with lowering volume, flags and bla bla bla... TA is just so wide. When can I actually know more and actually analyze like how the pros does. This gonna take time.
Adopting a long position till ............. things change again
Well, after spending some time running through the exhaustive list of information and choices available. These are my picks for the week. To avoid "cheating", I'll post this up early else it's probable that I show only the rising picks. =)
Let's see how these fare this week and beyond.
Although TA has all-so-many aspects to analysis and deduction, I've decided to post comments at the simplest way possible.
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Week 2.
Analysis for Monday 24/09/2007
LC Dev
Good RSI. “Room to buy”. MA has been good, uptrend. Support formed over the week @ .435. Breaks resistance @ .475. Over last 4 months, volume at least average 11 million. Awaiting breakout.
ChinaKangda
Possible “Double Bottom” formed. RSI though relatively high but acceptable. “Interesting” high volume in a single day. Awaiting confirmation of formation.
Rotatory
Positive volume last few days. Awaiting possible breakout @1.44. Despite positive volume, RSI is still healthy, <70%. Awaiting breakout.
CSC
Resistance at .33, support at .315. MA hasn’t been positive, “crab” However, healthy RSI. Awaiting breakout.
Lian Beng
“Cup filled” with good volume. Support-Resistance-Support @ .42. Broke a ~2mths trading zone in good volume @ .46. Possible start of 20d MA > 50d MA. Healthy RSI.
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Saturday, September 22, 2007
Well, I've started this blog after the closing of my first week. So I don't think I'd post in what is going through my mind when I select the stocks the last week and so.. there goes. My reflection for the week.
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Week 1
17/9/07– 21/9/7
Trading this week, my first of which I’d actually sat in front of the computer to do my analysis has been in a way, fruitful. Despite incurring a loss of about $212.01, I’ve picked up a few lessons.
1. Always do sufficient analysis and reading up of the company.
Take CWT for example, I’ve done good research on it in terms of chart plotting and analysis and it occurred that the purchase has brought forth fruits, rising from 1.12 to 1.19 at which I sold. That’s a gain of 0.07/share. Definitely nothing to be proud, as I’ve ignored the knowledge to follow the trend as it hit a high of 1.24 in the week. I’ve learnt to be patient and ride the tide.
2. Do not get carried away by emotions
Take Alantac for example. I’ve noticed on the previous day of purchased that his stock has been heavily speculated and intended to buy part of it at a low. However, when the market opened at 9am, it was +0.03 which made it 0.405 from a previous day close of 0.375. Sensing that the speculation would continue from 0.405 since it started from that went wrong. I hastily bid 8 lots at 0.4 at 9:10am, thinking that it would be a good entry point. But alas, it was downhill from there and I was at negative for the next 2 days.
Another reason that made me rush into the purchase is that DOW broke its resistance with high volume, sparkling a possible “bull day”, but instead STI dipped a little that day.
I should have cut my losses at .385 but I persisted and in the end, I sold it off at .37. Additional loss of $120! Oh, the importance of cutting loss at 4%.
I’ve decided to sell this stock the night before and posted the sale order at night at .37 before the market opens as I’ve noticed that DOW dipped a little and with the fear that STI might follow suit. If so, Alantac might not hold at .37, thus the sale order. But I was wrong as Alantac closed at .385 the next day and I actually had about 7 hours to sell, why the rush when I’ve yet to see the market yet? Probably another lesson learnt.
3. New stocks with little/no history. IPOs
I bought 16 lots of Wan Xing and 0.38 while the market price is moving around .38-.395. I was looking at a quick profit and from the chart, it seem as though there is a high probability that it could have broken resistance leading to the decision to buy. It was a decision that took little thought and analysis as once again, emotions took over.
In the end, I was proven wrong again. There is no breaking of resistance level and ah ha, I lost to the market once again. Reason to sell is the same as Alantac.
4. Time your purchases and monitor the Top 30 volume
This time round, I did not get to enter the market with IndoAgri. This stock caught my attention a little too late near closing time when I actually went to do an analysis on the chart. The trading point has already broken its resistance-turned-support level at $1.09 since the dip from July-Aug period.
If I’d spotted this movement earlier, I would have entered the market at probably $1.10. It closed at $1.17.
Well, this week is over. Next week would be better! I’ve learnt some precious lessons and I guess this is the start before I get better at the art of trading. A loss of $212 should not pull me down! Just remember and be a better trader!
Over and out!
Guys, trust me on this.
I've really thought long and hard before I've decided to come up with this blog. Not as though one blog is not enough, but I'd like to post my trading experience online. To share with you people how it feels like to trade.
Let's see how this blog would turn out.
Please.. selected stocks are only for your references only. I do not undertake any reponsibility in your losses.